Did nobody really question the usability of language models in designing war strategies?

  • SlopppyEngineer@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    32
    arrow-down
    11
    ·
    11 months ago

    LLM are just plagiarizing bullshitting machines. It’s how they are built. Plagiarism if they have the specific training data, modify the answer if they must, make it up from whole cloth as their base programming. And accidentally good enough to convince many people.

    • Blueberrydreamer@lemmynsfw.com
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      13
      arrow-down
      4
      ·
      11 months ago

      How is that structurally different from how a human answers a question? We repeat an answer we “know” if possible, assemble something from fragments of knowledge if not, and just make something up from basically nothing if needed. The main difference I see is a small degree of self reflection, the ability to estimate how ‘good or bad’ the answer likely is, and frankly plenty of humans are terrible at that too.

      • kibiz0r@midwest.social
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        edit-2
        11 months ago

        I dare say that if you ask a human “Why should I not stick my hand in a fire?” their process for answering the question is going to be very different from an LLM.

        ETA: Also, working in software development, I’ll tell ya… Most of the time, when people ask me a question, it’s the wrong question and they just didn’t know to ask a different question instead. LLMs don’t handle that scenario.

        I’ve tried asking ChatGPT “How do I get the relative path from a string that might be either an absolute URI or a relative path?” It spat out 15 lines of code for doing it manually. I ain’t gonna throw that maintenance burden into my codebase. So I clarified: “I want a library that does this in a single line.” And it found one.

        An LLM can be a handy tool, but you have to remember that it’s also a plagiarizing, shameless bullshitter of a monkey paw.

        • Blueberrydreamer@lemmynsfw.com
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          2
          ·
          11 months ago

          “Most of the time, when people ask me a question, it’s the wrong question and they just didn’t know to ask a different question instead.”

          “I’ve tried asking ChatGPT “How do I get the relative path from a string that might be either an absolute URI or a relative path?” It spat out 15 lines of code for doing it manually. I ain’t gonna throw that maintenance burden into my codebase. So I clarified: “I want a library that does this in a single line.” And it found one.”

          You see the irony right? I genuinely can’t fathom your intent when telling this story, but it is an absolutely stellar example.

          You can’t give a good answer when people don’t ask the right questions. ChatGPT answers are only as good as the prompts. As far as being a “plagiarizing, shameless bullshitter of a monkey paw” I still don’t think it’s all that different from the results you get from people. If you ask a coworker the same question you asked chatGPT, you’re probably going to get a line copied from a Google search that may or may not work.

          • kibiz0r@midwest.social
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            3
            ·
            11 months ago

            You see the irony right? I genuinely can’t fathom your intent when telling this story, but it is an absolutely stellar example.

            Yes, I did mean for it to be an example.

            And yes, I do think that correctly framing a question is crucial whether you’re dealing with a person or an LLM. But I was elaborating on whether a person’s process of answering a question is fundamentally similar to an LLM’s process. And this is one way that it’s noticeably different. A person will size up who is asking, what they’re asking, and how they’re asking it… and consider whether they should actually answer the exact question that was asked or suggest a better question instead.

            You can certainly work around it, as the asker, but it does require deliberate disambiguation. I think programmers are used to doing that, so it may feel like not that big of a deal, but if you start paying attention to how often people are tossing around half-formed questions or statements and just expecting the recipient to fill in the gaps… It’s basically 100% of the time.

            We’re fundamentally social creatures first, and intelligent creatures second. (Or third, or not at all, depending.) We think better as groups. If you give 10 individuals a set of difficult questions, they’ll bomb almost all of them. If you give the questions to a group of 10, they’ll get almost all of them right. (There’s several You Are Not So Smart episodes on this, but the main one is 111.)

            Asking a question to an LLM is just completely different from asking a person. We’re not optimized for correctly filling out scantron sheets as individuals, we’re optimized for brainstorming ideas and pruning them as a group.

            • Lmaydev@programming.dev
              link
              fedilink
              English
              arrow-up
              1
              ·
              edit-2
              11 months ago

              If you fed that information into one I bet you would get different answers.

              That is information that isn’t available to it generally.

        • fishos@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          9
          arrow-down
          3
          ·
          11 months ago

          Yeah, and a car uses more energy than me. It still goes faster. What’s your point? The debate isn’t input vs output. It’s only about output(the ability of the AI).

      • EvolvedTurtle@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        11 months ago

        I would argue that a decent portion of humans are usually ok with admitting they don’t know something

        Unless they are in a situation where they will be punished for not knowing

        My favorite doctor claimed he didn’t know something and at first I was thinking “Man that’s weird” but then I thought about all the times I’ve personally had or heard stories of doctors that bullshited their way into something like how I couldn’t possibly be diagnosed with ADHD at 18

    • huginn@feddit.it
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      5
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      11 months ago

      To be fair they’re not accidentally good enough: they’re intentionally good enough.

      That’s where all the salary money went: to find people who could make them intentionally.

      • SlopppyEngineer@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        7
        arrow-down
        1
        ·
        11 months ago

        GPT 2 was just a bullshit generator. It was like a politician trying to explain something they know nothing about.

        GPT 3.0 was just a bigger version of version 2. It was the same architecture but with more nodes and data as far as I followed the research. But that one could suddenly do a lot more than the previous version, so by accident. And then the AI scene exploded.

        • Limitless_screaming@kbin.social
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          3
          arrow-down
          1
          ·
          11 months ago

          It was the same architecture but with more nodes and data

          So the architecture just needed more data to generate useful answers. I don’t think that was an accident.

    • TrickDacy@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      2
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      11 months ago

      It kind of irks me how many people want to downplay this technology in this exact manner. Yes you’re sort of right but in no way does that really change how it will be used and abused.

      “But people think it’s real AI tho!”

      Okay and? Most people don’t understand how most tech works and that doesn’t stop it from doing a lot of good and bad things.

      • SlopppyEngineer@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        11 months ago

        I’ve been through a few AI winters and hype cycles. It made me very cynical and convinced many overly enthusiastic people will run into a firewall face first.